Brentford vs Bournemouth Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Brentford v Bournemouth — Team-Based Signals
Brentford vs Bournemouth Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Bournemouth
İNP
2-0
HT 1-0
Bournemouth
İNP
Brentford 4-1 Bournemouth — Actual Match Statistics
Brentford swept aside Bournemouth 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Brentford as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.
On the day, Brentford had 49% of the ball to Bournemouth's 51%, shots finished 15-20, expected goals 3.55 to 2.72.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brentford had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Brentford and 1.00 for Bournemouth.
What was the final score of Brentford vs Bournemouth?
Brentford 4-1 Bournemouth in the England - Premier League on 27/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Brentford vs Bournemouth?
Before kick-off our model rated a Brentford win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Brentford 44%, draw 26%, Bournemouth 30%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brentford), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.