Bournemouth vs Brentford Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bournemouth v Brentford — Team-Based Signals
Bournemouth vs Brentford Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Bournemouth
İNP
2-0
HT 1-0
Bournemouth
İNP
0-0
HT 0-0
Brentford
İNP
Bournemouth 0-2 Brentford — Actual Match Statistics
Brentford got the better of Bournemouth 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Bournemouth at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Bournemouth had 66% of the ball to Brentford's 34%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 1.68 to 1.00 — the balance of chances actually favoured Bournemouth.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brentford led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bournemouth and 1.83 for Brentford.
What was the final score of Bournemouth vs Brentford?
Bournemouth 0-2 Brentford in the England - League Cup on 26/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bournemouth vs Brentford?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bournemouth win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Bournemouth 50%, draw 25%, Brentford 25%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.