Wolverhampton 3-2 West Ham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - League Cup, 26 Aug 2025

📅26/08/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.78
Over 2.5
54%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.75
No
43%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.97
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
24%
3.62
6+ Goals
13%
15.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.62 — our 24% vs market 21.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
4.09
1/2
8%
28.0
1/X
8%
12.95
X/1
10%
5.9
X/2
14%
5.37
X/X
12%
4.36
2/1
8%
30.0
2/2
13%
3.53
2/X
5%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
35%
+5.4pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.7pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-2.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.1pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolverhampton EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY West Ham United EU Bookmakers 42%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +51% / +51%
1.48/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
+24% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
357 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.2 Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolverhampton
3W-0D-3L
AWAY West Ham United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.13 xG 1.14
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
410 Passes 363
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.04.2025 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 1-0 HT 1-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
09.12.2024 West Ham United West Ham United 2-1 HT 0-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
28.07.2024 West Ham United West Ham United 1-3 HT 1-1 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton HAZ
06.04.2024 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 1-2 HT 1-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
17.12.2023 West Ham United West Ham United 3-0 HT 2-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
14.01.2023 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 1-0 HT 0-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolverhampton
3-2
AWAY West Ham United
2.12 xG 1.39
51% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 0
380 Passes 364
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
32 Box Touches 13
25 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wolverhampton vs West Ham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolverhampton edged past West Ham United 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and on the day Wolverhampton made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Wolverhampton had 51% of the ball to West Ham United's 49%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 2.12 to 1.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Wolverhampton and 1.33 for West Ham United.

What was the final score of Wolverhampton vs West Ham United?

Wolverhampton 3-2 West Ham United in the England - League Cup on 26/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolverhampton vs West Ham United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wolverhampton win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Wolverhampton 40%, draw 25%, West Ham United 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wolverhampton), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wolverhampton) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNLK More England - League Cup
26 Aug 2025
21:00 Reading vs AFC Wimbledon Analysis →
21:30 Cambridge United vs Charlton Athletic Analysis →
21:45 Preston North End vs Wrexham Analysis →
21:45 Burton Albion vs Lincoln City Analysis →
21:45 Wigan Athletic vs Stockport County Analysis →
21:45 Accrington Stanley vs Doncaster Rovers Analysis →