Burton Albion vs Lincoln City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Burton Albion v Lincoln City — Team-Based Signals
Burton Albion vs Lincoln City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Burton Albion
İN1
0-1
HT 0-0
Burton Albion
İN1
3-0
HT 3-0
Lincoln City
İN1
Burton Albion 0-1 Lincoln City — Actual Match Statistics
Lincoln City edged past Burton Albion 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lincoln City as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Burton Albion had 48% of the ball to Lincoln City's 52%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 0.44 to 2.01 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Lincoln City's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Burton Albion had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Burton Albion and 0.67 for Lincoln City.
What was the final score of Burton Albion vs Lincoln City?
Burton Albion 0-1 Lincoln City in the England - League Cup on 26/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Burton Albion vs Lincoln City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lincoln City win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Burton Albion 25%, draw 23%, Lincoln City 52%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lincoln City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.