Burton Albion 0-1 Lincoln City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.17
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.51
Over 2.5
36%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.26
2-3 Goals
45%
1.78
4-5 Goals
14%
5.37
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.32
1/2
9%
33.0
1/X
7%
14.6
X/1
13%
6.39
X/2
6%
4.47
X/X
19%
3.6
2/1
3%
34.0
2/2
24%
3.21
2/X
7%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
28%
+0.1pp
32%
Draw
31%
+1.7pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-1.8pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.0pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burton Albion EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Lincoln City EU Bookmakers 45%
+3% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.08/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.15
+6% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +8%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
273 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 74%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
16.6 Crosses 14.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burton Albion
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Lincoln City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.65 xG 0.84
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
234 Passes 288
66% Pass Accuracy 68%
27 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.10.2023 Lincoln City Lincoln City 0-1 HT 0-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
25.04.2023 Lincoln City Lincoln City 0-1 HT 0-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
26.12.2022 Burton Albion Burton Albion 3-0 HT 3-0 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
29.01.2022 Lincoln City Lincoln City 1-2 HT 0-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
25.09.2021 Burton Albion Burton Albion 1-2 HT 0-1 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
20.04.2021 Burton Albion Burton Albion 0-1 HT 0-1 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burton Albion
0-1
AWAY Lincoln City
0.90 xG 1.32
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
326 Passes 185
76% Pass Accuracy 65%
31 Box Touches 21
30 Crosses 17
8 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Burton Albion vs Lincoln City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lincoln City edged past Burton Albion 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 28% / 32% / 39% — and on the day Lincoln City made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Burton Albion had 61% of the ball to Lincoln City's 39%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 0.90 to 1.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Burton Albion had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Burton Albion and 0.67 for Lincoln City.

What was the final score of Burton Albion vs Lincoln City?

Burton Albion 0-1 Lincoln City in the England - 1st Division on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burton Albion vs Lincoln City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lincoln City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Burton Albion 28%, draw 32%, Lincoln City 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lincoln City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lincoln City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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