Burton Albion vs Lincoln City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Burton Albion v Lincoln City — Team-Based Signals
Burton Albion vs Lincoln City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Burton Albion
İN1
0-1
HT 0-0
Burton Albion
İN1
3-0
HT 3-0
Lincoln City
İN1
1-2
HT 0-0
Burton Albion
İN1
1-2
HT 0-1
Lincoln City
İN1
Burton Albion 2-3 Lincoln City — Actual Match Statistics
Lincoln City squeezed past Burton Albion 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Lincoln City as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Burton Albion had 66% of the ball to Lincoln City's 34%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 2.25 to 1.24 — the balance of chances actually favoured Burton Albion.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Burton Albion had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Burton Albion and 0.67 for Lincoln City.
What was the final score of Burton Albion vs Lincoln City?
Burton Albion 2-3 Lincoln City in the England - 1st Division on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Burton Albion vs Lincoln City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lincoln City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Burton Albion 34%, draw 25%, Lincoln City 41%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lincoln City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.