Leyton Orient 1-2 Bolton Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.32
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
44%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.99
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.9
6+ Goals
9%
17.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.99 — our 31% vs market 27.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.73
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
6%
14.6
X/1
10%
7.36
X/2
14%
4.27
X/X
12%
4.52
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.68
2/X
9%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+2.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
44%
Away Win
47%
-3.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.7pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leyton Orient EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Bolton Wanderers EU Bookmakers 51%
-15% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +2%
0.78/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/0.86
-34% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +15%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
271 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 74%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.3
17.1 Crosses 17.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leyton Orient
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Bolton Wanderers
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.48 xG 1.45
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
278 Passes 282
70% Pass Accuracy 69%
16 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.01.2024 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 1-0 HT 0-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
23.12.2023 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 3-2 HT 3-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN1
30.01.2021 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 2-0 HT 0-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN2
31.10.2020 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 4-0 HT 3-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leyton Orient
1-2
AWAY Bolton Wanderers
1.04 xG 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
197 Passes 211
64% Pass Accuracy 63%
17 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 15
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Leyton Orient vs Bolton Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bolton Wanderers nicked a narrow win over Leyton Orient 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bolton Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Leyton Orient had 48% of the ball to Bolton Wanderers's 52%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.04 to 1.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Leyton Orient and 1.25 for Bolton Wanderers.

What was the final score of Leyton Orient vs Bolton Wanderers?

Leyton Orient 1-2 Bolton Wanderers in the England - 1st Division on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leyton Orient vs Bolton Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bolton Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Leyton Orient 29%, draw 27%, Bolton Wanderers 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bolton Wanderers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bolton Wanderers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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