Leyton Orient 1-0 Bolton Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
43%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.73
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.14
6+ Goals
10%
20.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.49
1/2
7%
29.5
1/X
6%
13.5
X/1
12%
6.01
X/2
12%
4.88
X/X
13%
4.08
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
24%
3.35
2/X
8%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-2.2pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
43%
Away Win
40%
+3.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.5pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leyton Orient EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Bolton Wanderers EU Bookmakers 43%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
1.23/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.03
-14% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
266 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 68%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.4
18.3 Crosses 15.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leyton Orient
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Bolton Wanderers
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.66 xG 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
281 Passes 291
72% Pass Accuracy 71%
15 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.12.2023 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 3-2 HT 3-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN1
30.01.2021 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 2-0 HT 0-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN2
31.10.2020 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 4-0 HT 3-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leyton Orient
1-0
AWAY Bolton Wanderers
0.97 xG 0.78
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
267 Passes 253
67% Pass Accuracy 62%
20 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Leyton Orient vs Bolton Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leyton Orient squeezed past Bolton Wanderers 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Bolton Wanderers at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Leyton Orient had 49% of the ball to Bolton Wanderers's 51%, shots finished 11-4, expected goals 0.97 to 0.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bolton Wanderers led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Leyton Orient and 1.67 for Bolton Wanderers.

What was the final score of Leyton Orient vs Bolton Wanderers?

Leyton Orient 1-0 Bolton Wanderers in the England - 1st Division on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leyton Orient vs Bolton Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bolton Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Leyton Orient 30%, draw 27%, Bolton Wanderers 43%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bolton Wanderers), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bolton Wanderers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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