Wigan Athletic 1-0 Reading — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.36
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.42
6+ Goals
11%
13.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.36 — our 27% vs market 23.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.15
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
17%
4.93
X/2
10%
6.18
X/X
12%
4.69
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
12%
4.32
2/X
7%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+2.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-1.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.8pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wigan Athletic EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Reading EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -22%
1.21/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.24
-2% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -22%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
310 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 76%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
21.2 Crosses 20.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wigan Athletic
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Reading
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.32 xG 1.61
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
308 Passes 298
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.12.2023 Reading Reading 2-0 HT 1-0 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
29.04.2023 Reading Reading 1-1 HT 0-0 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İNCL
17.09.2022 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 0-1 HT 0-0 Reading Reading İNCL
26.02.2020 Reading Reading 0-3 HT 0-1 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İNCL
30.11.2019 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 1-3 HT 1-0 Reading Reading İNCL
09.03.2019 Reading Reading 3-2 HT 1-1 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wigan Athletic
1-0
AWAY Reading
0.57 xG 1.77
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 3
338 Passes 460
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
11 Box Touches 18
10 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wigan Athletic vs Reading
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wigan Athletic edged past Reading 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Wigan Athletic as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Wigan Athletic had 44% of the ball to Reading's 56%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.57 to 1.77 — on chances, Reading could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Reading led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Wigan Athletic and 1.67 for Reading.

What was the final score of Wigan Athletic vs Reading?

Wigan Athletic 1-0 Reading in the England - 1st Division on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wigan Athletic vs Reading?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wigan Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Wigan Athletic 45%, draw 26%, Reading 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wigan Athletic), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wigan Athletic) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN1 More England - 1st Division
20 Jan 2024
18:00 Exeter City vs Cambridge United Analysis →
18:00 Bristol Rovers vs Blackpool Analysis →
18:00 Leyton Orient vs Bolton Wanderers Analysis →
18:00 Burton Albion vs Charlton Athletic Analysis →
18:00 Fleetwood Town vs Portsmouth Analysis →
18:00 Lincoln City vs Derby County Analysis →