Lincoln City 0-0 Derby County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.04
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
49%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.78
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.06
6+ Goals
9%
19.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
7.14
1/2
9%
25.5
1/X
7%
16.25
X/1
10%
8.57
X/2
11%
3.81
X/X
9%
4.59
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
29%
2.34
2/X
8%
15.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
22%
+5.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
49%
Away Win
54%
-4.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.0pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lincoln City EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Derby County EU Bookmakers 57%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +14%
0.75/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/0.90
-23% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +25%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
274 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 75%
13.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
13.2 Crosses 21.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lincoln City
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Derby County
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
0.97 xG 1.36
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
206 Passes 492
62% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 23
10 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2023 Derby County Derby County 3-1 HT 1-1 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
19.09.2023 Derby County Derby County 2-0 HT 0-0 Lincoln City Lincoln City İNTK
14.02.2023 Derby County Derby County 1-1 HT 0-1 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
13.09.2022 Lincoln City Lincoln City 2-0 HT 1-0 Derby County Derby County İN1
12.08.2008 Derby County Derby County 1-1 HT 0-0 Lincoln City Lincoln City İNLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lincoln City
0-0
AWAY Derby County
0.88 xG 1.41
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 12
181 Passes 411
66% Pass Accuracy 79%
10 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 33
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lincoln City vs Derby County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lincoln City and Derby County played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Derby County at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Lincoln City had 34% of the ball to Derby County's 66%, shots finished 10-19, expected goals 0.88 to 1.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Derby County led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lincoln City and 1.40 for Derby County.

What was the final score of Lincoln City vs Derby County?

Lincoln City 0-0 Derby County in the England - 1st Division on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lincoln City vs Derby County?

Before kick-off our model rated an Derby County win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Lincoln City 27%, draw 24%, Derby County 49%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Derby County) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Derby County) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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