Burton Albion 2-0 Charlton Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
36%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.09
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.66
6+ Goals
11%
15.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.09 — our 28% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.58
1/2
6%
26.5
1/X
7%
13.55
X/1
13%
6.29
X/2
12%
4.76
X/X
14%
4.5
2/1
7%
33.5
2/2
18%
3.09
2/X
7%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+5.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
36%
Away Win
42%
-6.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burton Albion EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlton Athletic EU Bookmakers 46%
+1% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -3%
1.10/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.17
+3% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +0%
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
231 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 75%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
16.9 Crosses 18.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burton Albion
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Charlton Athletic
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.16 xG 1.15
47% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
253 Passes 318
70% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.12.2023 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 1-1 HT 1-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
10.04.2023 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 3-2 HT 2-1 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
12.11.2022 Burton Albion Burton Albion 3-3 HT 2-2 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
19.03.2022 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 2-0 HT 2-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
13.11.2021 Burton Albion Burton Albion 0-1 HT 0-1 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
23.02.2021 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 1-2 HT 1-1 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burton Albion
2-0
AWAY Charlton Athletic
0.59 xG 0.98
28% Ball Possession 72%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
130 Passes 537
52% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 20
11 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Burton Albion vs Charlton Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burton Albion saw off Charlton Athletic 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Burton Albion made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Burton Albion had 28% of the ball to Charlton Athletic's 72%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.59 to 0.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charlton Athletic led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Burton Albion and 1.83 for Charlton Athletic.

What was the final score of Burton Albion vs Charlton Athletic?

Burton Albion 2-0 Charlton Athletic in the England - 1st Division on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burton Albion vs Charlton Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Burton Albion win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Burton Albion 36%, draw 27%, Charlton Athletic 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/27/36) ✓ Under 2.5
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