Wrexham 3-2 Wycombe Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
37%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.7
No
55%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.46
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.44
6+ Goals
9%
13.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 30% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.7
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.0
X/1
12%
4.56
X/2
12%
7.43
X/X
11%
4.7
2/1
6%
24.45
2/2
18%
5.39
2/X
7%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
47%
-11.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
38%
Away Win
26%
+11.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.7pp
55%
BTTS No
45%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wrexham EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Wycombe Wanderers EU Bookmakers 30%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +9%
1.27/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.26
-12% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +12%
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
369 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 205 · 63%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
Crosses 16.5
Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wrexham
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Wycombe Wanderers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
11.03.2008 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 2-1 HT 2-0 Wrexham Wrexham İN2
07.11.2007 Wrexham Wrexham 0-0 HT 0-0 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN2
03.02.2007 Wrexham Wrexham 0-2 HT 0-1 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN2
05.08.2006 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 1-1 HT 1-1 Wrexham Wrexham İN2
04.02.2006 Wrexham Wrexham 2-0 HT 2-0 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN2
27.09.2005 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 4-1 HT 2-0 Wrexham Wrexham İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wrexham
3-2
AWAY Wycombe Wanderers
1.14 xG 1.99
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
189 Passes 262
62% Pass Accuracy 69%
25 Box Touches 25
24 Crosses 31
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wrexham vs Wycombe Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wrexham nicked a narrow win over Wycombe Wanderers 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Wrexham made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Wrexham had 45% of the ball to Wycombe Wanderers's 55%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 1.14 to 1.99 — the balance of chances actually favoured Wycombe Wanderers.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wycombe Wanderers led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Wrexham and 1.50 for Wycombe Wanderers.

What was the final score of Wrexham vs Wycombe Wanderers?

Wrexham 3-2 Wycombe Wanderers in the England - 1st Division on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wrexham vs Wycombe Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wycombe Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Wrexham 36%, draw 27%, Wycombe Wanderers 38%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Wycombe Wanderers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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