Cambridge United 3-1 Charlton Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - League Cup, 26 Aug 2025

📅26/08/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
44%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.62
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
4.09
6+ Goals
9%
20.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.81
1/2
10%
28.5
1/X
6%
14.0
X/1
8%
6.29
X/2
22%
4.82
X/X
9%
4.15
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
12%
3.2
2/X
9%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+1.4pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.8pp
44%
Away Win
41%
+2.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.9pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cambridge United EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlton Athletic EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -21%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
254 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
Crosses 15.8
Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cambridge United
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Charlton Athletic
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.34 xG 0.92
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
243 Passes 207
65% Pass Accuracy 63%
26 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.07.2025 Cambridge United Cambridge United 1-1 HT 0-1 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic HAZ
12.04.2025 Cambridge United Cambridge United 0-1 HT 0-1 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
26.12.2024 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 2-1 HT 2-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
17.09.2024 Cambridge United Cambridge United 1-2 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İNTK
13.04.2024 Cambridge United Cambridge United 1-1 HT 0-1 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
09.12.2023 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 2-2 HT 0-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cambridge United
3-1
AWAY Charlton Athletic
1.50 xG 0.94
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
192 Passes 295
61% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 29
10 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cambridge United vs Charlton Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cambridge United got the better of Charlton Athletic 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Charlton Athletic at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Cambridge United had 44% of the ball to Charlton Athletic's 56%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.50 to 0.94.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charlton Athletic led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cambridge United and 1.50 for Charlton Athletic.

What was the final score of Cambridge United vs Charlton Athletic?

Cambridge United 3-1 Charlton Athletic in the England - League Cup on 26/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cambridge United vs Charlton Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Charlton Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Cambridge United 32%, draw 24%, Charlton Athletic 44%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Charlton Athletic), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Charlton Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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