Wigan Athletic 1-0 Stockport County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - League Cup, 26 Aug 2025

📅26/08/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.79
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.84
6+ Goals
11%
17.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.79 — our 31% vs market 28.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.34
1/2
7%
33.0
1/X
9%
12.75
X/1
13%
5.13
X/2
8%
6.21
X/X
13%
4.17
2/1
11%
28.5
2/2
15%
4.51
2/X
5%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+2.3pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.7pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wigan Athletic EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Stockport County EU Bookmakers 34%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.47/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.05
-42% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +36%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
352 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 74%
15.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
11.2 Crosses 17.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wigan Athletic
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Stockport County
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
0.56 xG 0.90
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
322 Passes 426
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
11 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.02.2025 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 0-2 HT 0-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN1
05.10.2024 Stockport County Stockport County 0-0 HT 0-0 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
06.12.2023 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 2-0 HT 2-0 Stockport County Stockport County İNTK
18.03.2003 Stockport County Stockport County 1-1 HT 0-0 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
19.10.2002 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 2-1 HT 0-1 Stockport County Stockport County İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wigan Athletic
1-0
AWAY Stockport County
1.09 xG 0.45
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 7
341 Passes 415
83% Pass Accuracy 88%
12 Box Touches 21
11 Crosses 25
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wigan Athletic vs Stockport County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wigan Athletic squeezed past Stockport County 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Wigan Athletic as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Wigan Athletic had 46% of the ball to Stockport County's 54%, shots finished 6-10, expected goals 1.09 to 0.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Wigan Athletic had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Wigan Athletic and 0.80 for Stockport County.

What was the final score of Wigan Athletic vs Stockport County?

Wigan Athletic 1-0 Stockport County in the England - League Cup on 26/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wigan Athletic vs Stockport County?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wigan Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Wigan Athletic 43%, draw 28%, Stockport County 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wigan Athletic), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wigan Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5
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