Bournemouth vs Brentford Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bournemouth v Brentford — Team-Based Signals
Bournemouth vs Brentford Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Bournemouth
İNP
2-0
HT 1-0
Bournemouth
İNP
0-0
HT 0-0
Brentford
İNP
3-1
HT 1-1
Bournemouth
İNCL
Bournemouth 1-2 Brentford — Actual Match Statistics
Brentford nicked a narrow win over Bournemouth 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Bournemouth at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Bournemouth had 59% of the ball to Brentford's 41%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.67 to 0.83 — the balance of chances actually favoured Bournemouth.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brentford led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bournemouth and 2.00 for Brentford.
What was the final score of Bournemouth vs Brentford?
Bournemouth 1-2 Brentford in the England - Premier League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bournemouth vs Brentford?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bournemouth win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Bournemouth 49%, draw 24%, Brentford 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bournemouth) went the other way.