Ipswich Town 2-4 Nottingham Forest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
44%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.22
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
25%
3.44
6+ Goals
11%
13.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 27% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.85
1/2
7%
24.3
1/X
6%
14.1
X/1
11%
7.73
X/2
16%
4.6
X/X
12%
4.75
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.62
2/X
6%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
25%
+5.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
44%
Away Win
48%
-3.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.6pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ipswich Town EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Nottingham Forest EU Bookmakers 52%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
0.81/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.13/1.59
-31% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +78% /
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
325 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 74%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
15.8 Crosses 10.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ipswich Town
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Nottingham Forest
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.34 xG 2.13
44% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
275 Passes 383
71% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2025 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-1 HT 0-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town FAK
30.11.2024 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-0 HT 0-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNP
16.03.2019 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNCL
01.12.2018 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 2-0 HT 2-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
14.04.2018 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 2-1 HT 0-1 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
02.12.2017 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 4-2 HT 2-2 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ipswich Town
2-4
AWAY Nottingham Forest
0.43 xG 1.52
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
369 Passes 280
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nottingham Forest got the better of Ipswich Town 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nottingham Forest as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Ipswich Town had 56% of the ball to Nottingham Forest's 44%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.43 to 1.52.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nottingham Forest led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ipswich Town and 1.50 for Nottingham Forest.

What was the final score of Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest?

Ipswich Town 2-4 Nottingham Forest in the England - Premier League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nottingham Forest win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ipswich Town 31%, draw 25%, Nottingham Forest 44%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nottingham Forest), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nottingham Forest) ✓ Over 2.5
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