Southampton 1-2 Wolverhampton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
46%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.75
Over 2.5
53%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.86
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.8
6+ Goals
13%
16.95
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.8 — our 26% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.82
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
26.5
1/X
7%
13.9
X/1
10%
7.52
X/2
13%
4.66
X/X
13%
4.3
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.77
2/X
7%
12.95
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.5 — our 9% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
26%
+1.6pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.3pp
46%
Away Win
46%
-0.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
53%
-6.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
47%
+6.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southampton EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolverhampton EU Bookmakers 50%
-10% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
0.97/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.17
-50% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +29%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
285 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 80%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
15.6 Crosses 15.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southampton
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Wolverhampton
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.94 xG 1.28
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
384 Passes 302
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
09.11.2024 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 2-0 HT 1-0 Southampton Southampton İNP
11.02.2023 Southampton Southampton 1-2 HT 1-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
03.09.2022 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 1-0 HT 1-0 Southampton Southampton İNP
15.01.2022 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 3-1 HT 1-0 Southampton Southampton İNP
26.09.2021 Southampton Southampton 0-1 HT 0-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
14.02.2021 Southampton Southampton 1-2 HT 1-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southampton
1-2
AWAY Wolverhampton
1.37 xG 0.36
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
532 Passes 355
89% Pass Accuracy 86%
26 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 11
POST-MATCH Southampton vs Wolverhampton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolverhampton nicked a narrow win over Southampton 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Wolverhampton as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Southampton had 59% of the ball to Wolverhampton's 41%, shots finished 10-5, expected goals 1.37 to 0.36 — on chances, Southampton could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wolverhampton led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Southampton and 1.83 for Wolverhampton.

What was the final score of Southampton vs Wolverhampton?

Southampton 1-2 Wolverhampton in the England - Premier League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southampton vs Wolverhampton?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wolverhampton win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Southampton 28%, draw 26%, Wolverhampton 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wolverhampton), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wolverhampton) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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