Everton 2-0 Burnley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 3 Mar 2026

Everton
2-0 HT 1-0
Burnley
📅03/03/2026 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✓
England - Premier League – 2025/2026

Everton vs Burnley Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.79
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.87
6+ Goals
10%
17.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.79 — our 32% vs market 28.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.07
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
8%
15.35
X/1
23%
3.94
X/2
9%
10.45
X/X
11%
4.71
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
6%
9.11
2/X
6%
17.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
58%
-1.8pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.8pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Everton v Burnley — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Everton EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Burnley EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
1.56/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.86
-18% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +0%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
374 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 71%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
25.2 Crosses 14.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1

Everton vs Burnley Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Everton
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Burnley
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.49 xG 0.95
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
256 Passes 373
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
27.12.2025 Burnley Burnley 0-0 HT 0-0 Everton Everton İNP
06.04.2024 Everton Everton 1-0 HT 1-0 Burnley Burnley İNP
16.12.2023 Burnley Burnley 0-2 HT 0-2 Everton Everton İNP
01.11.2023 Everton Everton 3-0 HT 1-0 Burnley Burnley İNLK
06.04.2022 Burnley Burnley 3-2 HT 1-2 Everton Everton İNP
13.09.2021 Everton Everton 3-1 HT 0-0 Burnley Burnley İNP

Everton 2-0 Burnley — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Everton
2-0
AWAY Burnley
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
509 Passes 407
88% Pass Accuracy 86%
POST-MATCH Everton vs Burnley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Everton got the better of Burnley 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Everton as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Everton had 55% of the ball to Burnley's 45%, shots finished 14-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Everton had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Everton and 0.67 for Burnley.

What was the final score of Everton vs Burnley?

Everton 2-0 Burnley in the England - Premier League on 03/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Everton vs Burnley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Everton win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Everton 56%, draw 25%, Burnley 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Everton), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Everton) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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İNP More England - Premier League
3 Mar 2026
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