Sunderland vs Leeds United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sunderland v Leeds United — Team-Based Signals
Sunderland vs Leeds United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Leeds United
İNCL
1-1
HT 0-0
Sunderland
İNCL
0-2
HT 0-1
Leeds United
İNCL
Sunderland 1-1 Leeds United — Actual Match Statistics
Sunderland and Leeds United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Sunderland had 43% of the ball to Leeds United's 57%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 0.70 to 2.17.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leeds United led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sunderland and 1.17 for Leeds United.
What was the final score of Sunderland vs Leeds United?
Sunderland 1-1 Leeds United in the England - Premier League on 28/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sunderland vs Leeds United?
Before kick-off our model rated an Leeds United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sunderland 34%, draw 28%, Leeds United 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Leeds United) went the other way.