Crystal Palace 0-1 Tottenham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 28 Dec 2025

📅28/12/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.28
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.48
6+ Goals
11%
13.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.13
1/2
7%
32.5
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1 EV+ ✗
25%
5.16
X/2
11%
6.76
X/X
9%
4.67
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
14%
4.77
2/X
9%
13.35
Value flag · X/1 at 5.16 — our 25% vs market 15.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.6pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.1pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crystal Palace EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Tottenham EU Bookmakers 33%
-1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -6%
1.68/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.86
+3% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -18%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 81%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.5
18.0 Crosses 18.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crystal Palace
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Tottenham
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.04 xG 1.13
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
245 Passes 501
73% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2025 Tottenham Tottenham 0-2 HT 0-1 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
27.10.2024 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1-0 HT 1-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
02.03.2024 Tottenham Tottenham 3-1 HT 0-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
27.10.2023 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1-2 HT 0-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
06.05.2023 Tottenham Tottenham 1-0 HT 1-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
04.01.2023 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0-4 HT 0-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crystal Palace
0-1
AWAY Tottenham
1.47 xG 0.88
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
431 Passes 236
79% Pass Accuracy 69%
35 Box Touches 18
27 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Crystal Palace vs Tottenham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tottenham edged past Crystal Palace 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Crystal Palace at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Crystal Palace had 62% of the ball to Tottenham's 38%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.47 to 0.88 — on chances, Crystal Palace could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tottenham led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Crystal Palace and 1.67 for Tottenham.

What was the final score of Crystal Palace vs Tottenham?

Crystal Palace 0-1 Tottenham in the England - Premier League on 28/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crystal Palace vs Tottenham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crystal Palace win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Crystal Palace 44%, draw 24%, Tottenham 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Crystal Palace), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Crystal Palace) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNP More England - Premier League
28 Dec 2025
17:00 Sunderland vs Leeds United Analysis →