Crystal Palace 1-0 Tottenham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.17
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
41%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.33
Over 2.5
56%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.97
2-3 Goals
39%
1.95
4-5 Goals
27%
2.77
6+ Goals
11%
7.31
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.03
1/2
13%
21.05
1/X
7%
13.45
X/1
12%
7.77
X/2
13%
4.67
X/X
14%
5.84
2/1
8%
32.0
2/2
15%
2.5
2/X
5%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
28%
+5.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
41%
Away Win
48%
-7.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
39%
+4.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
61%
-4.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.5pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crystal Palace EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Tottenham EU Bookmakers 53%
+2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.22/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.39
-2% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -16%
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
263 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 455 · 83%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.6
17.4 Crosses 16.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crystal Palace
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Tottenham
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.76 xG 1.27
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
288 Passes 514
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2024 Tottenham Tottenham 3-1 HT 0-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
27.10.2023 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1-2 HT 0-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
06.05.2023 Tottenham Tottenham 1-0 HT 1-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
04.01.2023 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0-4 HT 0-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
26.12.2021 Tottenham Tottenham 3-0 HT 2-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
11.09.2021 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 3-0 HT 0-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crystal Palace
1-0
AWAY Tottenham
0.78 xG 0.74
34% Ball Possession 66%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 8
159 Passes 419
64% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 25
29 Crosses 28
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Crystal Palace vs Tottenham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crystal Palace squeezed past Tottenham 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Tottenham at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Crystal Palace had 34% of the ball to Tottenham's 66%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 0.78 to 0.74.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tottenham led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Crystal Palace and 2.17 for Tottenham.

What was the final score of Crystal Palace vs Tottenham?

Crystal Palace 1-0 Tottenham in the England - Premier League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crystal Palace vs Tottenham?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tottenham win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Crystal Palace 33%, draw 25%, Tottenham 41%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tottenham) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
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