Arsenal vs Liverpool Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Arsenal v Liverpool — Team-Based Signals
Arsenal vs Liverpool Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Arsenal
İNP
2-2
HT 1-2
Arsenal
İNP
3-2
HT 2-1
Liverpool
İNP
Arsenal 2-2 Liverpool — Actual Match Statistics
Arsenal and Liverpool shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Arsenal at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Arsenal had 45% of the ball to Liverpool's 55%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.92 to 0.81.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Arsenal and 1.67 for Liverpool.
What was the final score of Arsenal vs Liverpool?
Arsenal 2-2 Liverpool in the England - Premier League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Arsenal vs Liverpool?
Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Arsenal 43%, draw 28%, Liverpool 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Arsenal) went the other way.