West Ham United 2-1 Manchester United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
37%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.39
2-3 Goals
37%
1.88
4-5 Goals
27%
2.95
6+ Goals
11%
8.79
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.57
1/2
7%
22.7
1/X
8%
12.95
X/1
13%
6.98
X/2
14%
4.92
X/X
14%
5.33
2/1
7%
30.5
2/2
16%
2.81
2/X
7%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+4.7pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.1pp
37%
Away Win
45%
-7.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.5pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME West Ham United EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester United EU Bookmakers 49%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -4%
1.21/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.27
+1% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +18%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
283 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 459 · 83%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.8
20.3 Crosses 15.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME West Ham United
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Manchester United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.06 xG 1.26
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
307 Passes 476
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 30
21 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.02.2024 Manchester United Manchester United 3-0 HT 1-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
23.12.2023 West Ham United West Ham United 2-0 HT 0-0 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
07.05.2023 West Ham United West Ham United 1-0 HT 1-0 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
01.03.2023 Manchester United Manchester United 3-1 HT 0-0 West Ham United West Ham United FAK
30.10.2022 Manchester United Manchester United 1-0 HT 1-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
22.01.2022 Manchester United Manchester United 1-0 HT 0-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME West Ham United
2-1
AWAY Manchester United
3.00 xG 2.34
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
318 Passes 451
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
30 Box Touches 33
23 Crosses 24
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH West Ham United vs Manchester United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

West Ham United nicked a narrow win over Manchester United 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; West Ham United found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, West Ham United had 42% of the ball to Manchester United's 58%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 3.00 to 2.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester United led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for West Ham United and 1.33 for Manchester United.

What was the final score of West Ham United vs Manchester United?

West Ham United 2-1 Manchester United in the England - Premier League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for West Ham United vs Manchester United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split West Ham United 35%, draw 28%, Manchester United 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Manchester United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Manchester United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
27 Oct 2024
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