Deportivo Alaves vs CD Castellon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportivo Alaves v CD Castellon — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Alaves vs CD Castellon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
CD Castellon
İS2
0-1
HT 0-1
Deportivo Alaves
İS2
0-0
HT 0-0
CD Castellon
İS2
2-0
HT 2-0
Deportivo Alaves
İS2
2-0
HT 1-0
Deportivo Alaves
İS2
2-0
HT 0-0
CD Castellon
İS2
Deportivo Alaves 2-1 CD Castellon — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo Alaves squeezed past CD Castellon 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Deportivo Alaves as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Deportivo Alaves had 55% of the ball to CD Castellon's 45%, shots finished 11-7.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Castellon led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Deportivo Alaves and 0.83 for CD Castellon.
What was the final score of Deportivo Alaves vs CD Castellon?
Deportivo Alaves 2-1 CD Castellon in the Friendlies on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportivo Alaves vs CD Castellon?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Alaves win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Alaves 42%, draw 22%, CD Castellon 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Alaves), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.