Mansfield Town 1-3 Derby County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 31 Jul 2026

Mansfield Town
1-3
Derby County
📅31/07/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2026

Mansfield Town vs Derby County Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
4.23
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
2.75
6+ Goals
9%
7.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.03
1/2
9%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.85
X/1
20%
4.32
X/2
10%
10.15
X/X
10%
5.94
2/1
7%
20.4
2/2
8%
7.56
2/X
6%
15.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-6.4pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.3pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.9pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mansfield Town v Derby County — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mansfield Town EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Derby County EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +71%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
361 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Mansfield Town vs Derby County Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mansfield Town
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Derby County
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.66 xG 1.27
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
316 Passes 269
76% Pass Accuracy 70%
31 Box Touches 18
25 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.10.2022 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Derby County Derby County İNTK
09.08.2022 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 1-2 HT 0-1 Derby County Derby County İNLK
18.07.2018 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 3-1 HT 0-0 Derby County Derby County HAZ

Mansfield Town 1-3 Derby County — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mansfield Town
1-3
AWAY Derby County
19 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
17 Corners 3
FAQ Mansfield Town vs Derby County
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Derby County beat Mansfield Town 3-1 away from home in the Friendlies on 31 Jul 2026.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, shots finished 19-10.

Across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours are even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Mansfield Town and 1.33 for Derby County.

What was the final score of Mansfield Town vs Derby County?

Mansfield Town 1-3 Derby County in the Friendlies on 31/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mansfield Town vs Derby County?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mansfield Town win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Mansfield Town 51%, draw 23%, Derby County 27%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mansfield Town), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mansfield Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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