NEC Nijmegen 1-2 Sevilla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 31 Jul 2026

📅31/07/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.97
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
26%
2.95
6+ Goals
11%
9.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.86
1/2
9%
24.35
1/X
10%
12.75
X/1
14%
6.09
X/2
12%
5.53
X/X
8%
5.22
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
11%
3.33
2/X
7%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
40%
+3.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-2.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.8pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NEC Nijmegen EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sevilla EU Bookmakers 38%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -16%
1.12/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/0.94
-27% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / +48%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
Crosses 11.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NEC Nijmegen
1-2
AWAY Sevilla
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH NEC Nijmegen vs Sevilla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sevilla squeezed past NEC Nijmegen 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was NEC Nijmegen at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 9-11.

What was the final score of NEC Nijmegen vs Sevilla?

NEC Nijmegen 1-2 Sevilla in the Friendlies on 31/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NEC Nijmegen vs Sevilla?

Before kick-off our model rated a NEC Nijmegen win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split NEC Nijmegen 43%, draw 25%, Sevilla 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (NEC Nijmegen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (NEC Nijmegen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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