Sporting CP 4-1 Nottingham Forest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 31 Jul 2026

Sporting CP
4-1
Nottingham Forest
📅31/07/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2026

Sporting CP vs Nottingham Forest Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.89
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.43
Over 2.5
51%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.46
No
51%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
5.02
2-3 Goals
43%
1.93
4-5 Goals
20%
2.62
6+ Goals
10%
6.49
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.02 — our 27% vs market 14.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.51
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
5%
12.55
X/1
22%
4.95
X/2
7%
7.8
X/X
10%
5.97
2/1
9%
20.15
2/2
13%
5.04
2/X
5%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
49%
+4.2pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.4pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
64%
-14.9pp
51%
BTTS No
36%
+14.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sporting CP v Nottingham Forest — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Nottingham Forest EU Bookmakers 31%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.81/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/2.10
+7% / +120% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -24%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
393 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.6

Sporting CP 4-1 Nottingham Forest — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP
4-1
AWAY Nottingham Forest
16 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Sporting CP vs Nottingham Forest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP ran out comfortable winners over Nottingham Forest 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sporting CP as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, shots finished 16-8.

What was the final score of Sporting CP vs Nottingham Forest?

Sporting CP 4-1 Nottingham Forest in the Friendlies on 31/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting CP vs Nottingham Forest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP 53%, draw 20%, Nottingham Forest 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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