Altrincham 1-1 Oldham Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.19
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.68
6+ Goals
9%
15.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 32% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.59
1/2
6%
26.0
1/X
8%
13.9
X/1
13%
6.29
X/2
11%
4.73
X/X
13%
4.65
2/1
6%
33.5
2/2
21%
3.08
2/X
6%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-4.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.4pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Altrincham EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Oldham Athletic EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.54/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.30
+20% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -45%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
274 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Altrincham
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Oldham Athletic
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
01.04.2024 Altrincham Altrincham 1-0 HT 1-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
28.10.2023 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 2-2 HT 1-2 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
14.10.2023 Altrincham Altrincham 0-1 HT 0-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic FAK
07.04.2023 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 2-2 HT 1-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
25.10.2022 Altrincham Altrincham 1-0 HT 0-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Altrincham
1-1
AWAY Oldham Athletic
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Altrincham vs Oldham Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Altrincham and Oldham Athletic couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Altrincham had 59% of the ball to Oldham Athletic's 41%, shots finished 13-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Altrincham had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Altrincham and 1.00 for Oldham Athletic.

What was the final score of Altrincham vs Oldham Athletic?

Altrincham 1-1 Oldham Athletic in the England - National League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Altrincham vs Oldham Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Oldham Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Altrincham 35%, draw 26%, Oldham Athletic 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Oldham Athletic), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Oldham Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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