Aldershot Town 4-3 Maidenhead United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 31 Aug 2024

Aldershot Town
4-3 HT 1-1
Maidenhead United
📅31/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Aldershot Town vs Maidenhead United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.92
2-3 Goals
45%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
3.16
6+ Goals
11%
10.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.05
1/2
7%
29.5
1/X
10%
13.2
X/1
11%
4.98
X/2
10%
6.33
X/X
11%
5.16
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
24.45
2/2
16%
4.25
2/X
6%
13.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.45 — our 10% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.2pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.7pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.6pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aldershot Town v Maidenhead United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aldershot Town EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Maidenhead United EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.58/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.39
+3% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
478 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8

Aldershot Town vs Maidenhead United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aldershot Town
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Maidenhead United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
29.03.2024 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 4-0 HT 2-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
24.10.2023 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 4-2 HT 2-2 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
14.03.2023 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 1-1 HT 1-1 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
12.11.2022 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 1-2 HT 0-2 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
02.05.2022 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 2-2 HT 2-1 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
08.01.2022 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL

Aldershot Town 4-3 Maidenhead United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aldershot Town
4-3
AWAY Maidenhead United
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Aldershot Town vs Maidenhead United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aldershot Town nicked a narrow win over Maidenhead United 4-3. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Aldershot Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Aldershot Town had 56% of the ball to Maidenhead United's 44%, shots finished 13-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maidenhead United led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Aldershot Town and 2.00 for Maidenhead United.

What was the final score of Aldershot Town vs Maidenhead United?

Aldershot Town 4-3 Maidenhead United in the England - National League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aldershot Town vs Maidenhead United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aldershot Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Aldershot Town 40%, draw 27%, Maidenhead United 33%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aldershot Town), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aldershot Town) ✓ BTTS Yes
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