Maidenhead United 4-0 Aldershot Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 29 Mar 2024

Maidenhead United
4-0 HT 2-0
Aldershot Town
📅29/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - National League – 2023/2024

Maidenhead United vs Aldershot Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.46
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
49%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.93
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.15
6+ Goals
10%
10.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.61
1/2
8%
23.15
1/X
5%
13.55
X/1
6%
7.96
X/2
13%
4.49
X/X
10%
5.09
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
34.5
2/2
28%
2.51
2/X
7%
13.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.5 — our 8% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
26%
+3.7pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.2pp
48%
Away Win
49%
-0.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.8pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Maidenhead United v Aldershot Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maidenhead United EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Aldershot Town EU Bookmakers 53%
+2% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -11%
1.09/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.74
-15% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -33%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Maidenhead United vs Aldershot Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maidenhead United
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Aldershot Town
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
24.10.2023 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 4-2 HT 2-2 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
14.03.2023 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 1-1 HT 1-1 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
12.11.2022 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 1-2 HT 0-2 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
02.05.2022 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 2-2 HT 2-1 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
08.01.2022 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
23.02.2021 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 2-4 HT 1-3 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL

Maidenhead United 4-0 Aldershot Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maidenhead United
4-0
AWAY Aldershot Town
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Maidenhead United vs Aldershot Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maidenhead United swept aside Aldershot Town 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Aldershot Town at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Maidenhead United had 53% of the ball to Aldershot Town's 47%, shots finished 14-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aldershot Town led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Maidenhead United and 2.17 for Aldershot Town.

What was the final score of Maidenhead United vs Aldershot Town?

Maidenhead United 4-0 Aldershot Town in the England - National League on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maidenhead United vs Aldershot Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aldershot Town win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Maidenhead United 29%, draw 22%, Aldershot Town 48%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Aldershot Town), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aldershot Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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