Kidderminster Harriers 1-3 Altrincham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
38%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.8
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.18
6+ Goals
8%
20.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 31% vs market 29.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.29
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.75
X/1
11%
4.78
X/2
12%
6.03
X/X
10%
4.24
2/1
10%
29.0
2/2
19%
4.55
2/X
10%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
42%
-9.7pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.1pp
38%
Away Win
30%
+7.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.4pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kidderminster Harriers EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Altrincham EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.02/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.69
-30% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -16%
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
336 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kidderminster Harriers
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Altrincham
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.01.2024 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 0-0 HT 0-0 Altrincham Altrincham FAK
24.10.2023 Altrincham Altrincham 1-1 HT 1-1 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İBSL
21.12.2019 Altrincham Altrincham 1-1 HT 0-1 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
14.09.2019 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 2-0 HT 1-0 Altrincham Altrincham İCON
02.04.2016 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 1-1 HT 0-1 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
13.10.2015 Altrincham Altrincham 2-2 HT 1-1 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kidderminster Harriers
1-3
AWAY Altrincham
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kidderminster Harriers vs Altrincham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Altrincham saw off Kidderminster Harriers 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 30% / 38% — and on the day Altrincham made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kidderminster Harriers had 59% of the ball to Altrincham's 41%, shots finished 15-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kidderminster Harriers had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kidderminster Harriers and 0.83 for Altrincham.

What was the final score of Kidderminster Harriers vs Altrincham?

Kidderminster Harriers 1-3 Altrincham in the England - National League on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kidderminster Harriers vs Altrincham?

Before kick-off our model rated an Altrincham win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Kidderminster Harriers 32%, draw 30%, Altrincham 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Altrincham) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Altrincham) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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