29/03/2024
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-0
Oldham Athletic vs AFC Fylde Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.13
— our 30% vs market 26.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
43%
31%
Draw
26%
35%
Away Win
30%
57%
Under 2.5
52%
43%
Over 2.5
48%
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
51%
BTTS No
47%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Oldham Athletic v AFC Fylde — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Oldham Athletic
EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY
AFC Fylde
EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% /
+2%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
-7%
1.67/1.19
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.48/1.67
+8%
/
-2%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+20%
/
-14%
55%
Ball Possession
45%
11
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
277 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
311 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.4
Yellow Cards
2.1
Oldham Athletic vs AFC Fylde Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Oldham Athletic
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
AFC Fylde
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
3.00
51%
Ball Possession
49%
3
Total Shots
21
0
Shots on Target
10
3
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2
The Meetings
24.10.2023
AFC Fylde
3-0
HT 2-0
Oldham Athletic
İBSL
3-0
HT 2-0
Oldham Athletic
İBSL
POST-MATCH
Oldham Athletic vs AFC Fylde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
AFC Fylde saw off Oldham Athletic 3-1 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 31% / 35% — and on the day AFC Fylde made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Oldham Athletic vs AFC Fylde?
Oldham Athletic 1-3 AFC Fylde in the England - National League on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Oldham Athletic vs AFC Fylde?
Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Fylde win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Oldham Athletic 33%, draw 31%, AFC Fylde 35%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Fylde) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (AFC Fylde)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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İBSL
More England - National League
29 Mar 2024