York City 2-1 Chesterfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
35%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.14
2-3 Goals
43%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
3.04
6+ Goals
9%
9.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
25%
6.5
1/2
9%
21.4
1/X
7%
15.5
X/1
8%
8.88
X/2
14%
4.03
X/X
13%
5.75
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
12%
2.21
2/X
5%
15.1
Value flag · 1/1 at 6.5 — our 25% vs market 11.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+6.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-5.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.1pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME York City EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Chesterfield EU Bookmakers 45%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -20%
1.32/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.29
-5% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +0%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
252 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME York City
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Chesterfield
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.10.2023 Chesterfield Chesterfield 4-0 HT 0-0 York City York City İBSL
07.04.2023 Chesterfield Chesterfield 1-3 HT 1-1 York City York City İBSL
25.10.2022 York City York City 1-1 HT 0-1 Chesterfield Chesterfield İBSL
28.01.2014 York City York City 0-2 HT 0-2 Chesterfield Chesterfield İN2
22.10.2013 Chesterfield Chesterfield 2-2 HT 0-1 York City York City İN2
26.12.2012 Chesterfield Chesterfield 3-0 HT 0-0 York City York City İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME York City
2-1
AWAY Chesterfield
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH York City vs Chesterfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

York City edged past Chesterfield 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and on the day York City made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, York City had 39% of the ball to Chesterfield's 61%, shots finished 7-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chesterfield led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for York City and 2.17 for Chesterfield.

What was the final score of York City vs Chesterfield?

York City 2-1 Chesterfield in the England - National League on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for York City vs Chesterfield?

Before kick-off our model rated a York City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split York City 40%, draw 25%, Chesterfield 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (York City), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (York City) ✓ BTTS Yes
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