Alcorcon 4-1 Hercules — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.48
Over 2.5
43%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.16
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
5.81
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+7.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.4pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alcorcon EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Hercules EU Bookmakers 29%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -15%
1.98/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.60
+46% / +106% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
222 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alcorcon
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Hercules
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
17.05.2014 Hercules Hercules 1-2 HT 0-0 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS2
14.12.2013 Alcorcon Alcorcon 0-2 HT 0-0 Hercules Hercules İS2
02.02.2013 Hercules Hercules 3-0 HT 2-0 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS2
02.09.2012 Alcorcon Alcorcon 1-0 HT 1-0 Hercules Hercules İS2
10.06.2012 Alcorcon Alcorcon 0-0 HT 0-0 Hercules Hercules İS2
06.06.2012 Hercules Hercules 1-1 HT 0-1 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alcorcon
4-1
AWAY Hercules
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Alcorcon vs Hercules
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alcorcon cruised past Hercules 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Alcorcon made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Alcorcon had 56% of the ball to Hercules's 44%, shots finished 13-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Alcorcon and 1.17 for Hercules.

What was the final score of Alcorcon vs Hercules?

Alcorcon 4-1 Hercules in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alcorcon vs Hercules?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alcorcon win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Alcorcon 39%, draw 28%, Hercules 33%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alcorcon) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alcorcon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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