Barakaldo 0-1 Real Sociedad II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.55
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.64
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-6.5pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.7pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.6pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barakaldo EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Sociedad II EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +17%
1.06/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.16
-22% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
488 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 18.2
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barakaldo
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Real Sociedad II
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 0
07.02.2021 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II 2-0 HT 1-0 Barakaldo Barakaldo İS3
08.11.2020 Barakaldo Barakaldo 1-4 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II İS3
16.02.2020 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II 2-4 HT 2-1 Barakaldo Barakaldo İS3
29.09.2019 Barakaldo Barakaldo 0-5 HT 0-2 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II İS3
12.04.2014 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II 2-2 HT 0-0 Barakaldo Barakaldo İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barakaldo
0-1
AWAY Real Sociedad II
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Barakaldo vs Real Sociedad II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Sociedad II edged past Barakaldo 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Real Sociedad II found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Barakaldo had 55% of the ball to Real Sociedad II's 45%, shots finished 11-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Real Sociedad II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Barakaldo and 3.00 for Real Sociedad II.

What was the final score of Barakaldo vs Real Sociedad II?

Barakaldo 0-1 Real Sociedad II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barakaldo vs Real Sociedad II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barakaldo win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Barakaldo 39%, draw 30%, Real Sociedad II 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Barakaldo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barakaldo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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