Real Madrid II 0-1 UD Ibiza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.57
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.56
Over 2.5
46%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.43
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
4.93
6+ Goals
9%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
35%
+4.5pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.3pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-2.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
60%
-6.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
40%
+6.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.5pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid II EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY UD Ibiza EU Bookmakers 38%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
0.99/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/0.66
-12% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +61%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
245 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Madrid II
0W-3D-1L
AWAY UD Ibiza
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.05.2024 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS3
13.01.2024 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 1-1 HT 0-0 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza İS3
16.05.2021 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS3
10.11.2019 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 1-2 HT 1-1 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid II
0-1
AWAY UD Ibiza
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Madrid II vs UD Ibiza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UD Ibiza squeezed past Real Madrid II 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; UD Ibiza found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Real Madrid II had 52% of the ball to UD Ibiza's 48%, shots finished 17-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, UD Ibiza led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Real Madrid II and 0.75 for UD Ibiza.

What was the final score of Real Madrid II vs UD Ibiza?

Real Madrid II 0-1 UD Ibiza in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid II vs UD Ibiza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid II 40%, draw 28%, UD Ibiza 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Real Madrid II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Madrid II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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