Gold Coast Knights 0-1 Queensland Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.61
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.39
No
40%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
6.05
2-3 Goals
31%
2.08
4-5 Goals
30%
2.56
6+ Goals
16%
5.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.5pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.4pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
68%
-7.9pp
40%
BTTS No
32%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gold Coast Knights EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Queensland Lions EU Bookmakers 34%
+47% / +47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.71/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.35
+113% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
296 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.0 Crosses 14.3
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gold Coast Knights
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Queensland Lions
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.02 xG 1.67
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
345 Passes 278
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2024 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 5-0 HT 1-0 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
18.05.2024 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 1-1 HT 0-1 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVNPL
13.08.2023 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 1-1 HT 0-0 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVNPL
06.05.2023 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 1-1 HT 1-0 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVNPL
26.06.2022 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 1-1 HT 1-0 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
19.03.2022 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 3-6 HT 2-1 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVSQ
POST-MATCH Gold Coast Knights vs Queensland Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queensland Lions nicked a narrow win over Gold Coast Knights 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Queensland Lions made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gold Coast Knights had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Gold Coast Knights and 1.17 for Queensland Lions.

What was the final score of Gold Coast Knights vs Queensland Lions?

Gold Coast Knights 0-1 Queensland Lions in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gold Coast Knights vs Queensland Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gold Coast Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gold Coast Knights 39%, draw 26%, Queensland Lions 35%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gold Coast Knights) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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