Brest 4-0 Saint-Etienne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.28
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.58
6+ Goals
10%
14.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.3
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.85
X/1
15%
3.98
X/2
8%
8.79
X/X
7%
4.98
2/1
6%
24.0
2/2
15%
6.89
2/X
8%
15.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-4.2pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.3pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.7pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brest EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Saint-Etienne EU Bookmakers 25%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +7%
1.49/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.49
-8% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -10%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
404 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
22.8 Crosses 16.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brest
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Saint-Etienne
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.20 xG 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
327 Passes 378
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.04.2022 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 2-1 HT 2-1 Brest Brest FR1
01.12.2021 Brest Brest 1-0 HT 0-0 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR1
24.04.2021 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 1-2 HT 1-0 Brest Brest FR1
21.11.2020 Brest Brest 4-1 HT 4-1 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR1
16.02.2020 Brest Brest 3-2 HT 3-0 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR1
18.08.2019 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 1-1 HT 0-1 Brest Brest FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brest
4-0
AWAY Saint-Etienne
3.12 xG 0.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
22 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 2
240 Passes 311
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
38 Box Touches 9
24 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Brest vs Saint-Etienne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brest swept aside Saint-Etienne 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Brest as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Brest had 47% of the ball to Saint-Etienne's 53%, shots finished 22-6, expected goals 3.12 to 0.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brest had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Brest and 1.17 for Saint-Etienne.

What was the final score of Brest vs Saint-Etienne?

Brest 4-0 Saint-Etienne in the France - Ligue 1 on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brest vs Saint-Etienne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brest win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Brest 49%, draw 23%, Saint-Etienne 28%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brest), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Brest) ✓ Over 2.5
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