Forge 2-0 Pacific FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.85
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.19
6+ Goals
11%
10.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.85 — our 26% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-7.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.9pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forge EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Pacific FC EU Bookmakers 27%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.60/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.18
+37% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +46%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
398 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 81%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
16.6 Crosses 13.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forge
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Pacific FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.09 xG 1.15
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
408 Passes 366
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
15.07.2024 Forge Forge 2-1 HT 0-1 Pacific FC Pacific FC CAPL
12.05.2024 Pacific FC Pacific FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Forge Forge CAPL
24.09.2023 Forge Forge 3-1 HT 2-1 Pacific FC Pacific FC CAPL
22.07.2023 Pacific FC Pacific FC 0-2 HT 0-2 Forge Forge KAPL
11.06.2023 Forge Forge 0-1 HT 0-0 Pacific FC Pacific FC KAPL
01.05.2023 Pacific FC Pacific FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Forge Forge KAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forge
2-0
AWAY Pacific FC
0.67 xG 0.80
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
318 Passes 402
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 20
7 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Forge vs Pacific FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forge saw off Pacific FC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Forge as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Forge had 46% of the ball to Pacific FC's 54%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.67 to 0.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forge had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Forge and 0.50 for Pacific FC.

What was the final score of Forge vs Pacific FC?

Forge 2-0 Pacific FC in the Kanada - Premier League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forge vs Pacific FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forge win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Forge 45%, draw 26%, Pacific FC 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forge), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Forge) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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31 Aug 2024
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