Cavalry 2-2 Valour — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.47
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
28%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.42
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.47
6+ Goals
10%
13.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.42 — our 29% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
64%
-18.2pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.0pp
28%
Away Win
15%
+13.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.3pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cavalry EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Valour EU Bookmakers 18%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.16/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.31
-29% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +66% / +6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
390 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 78%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
22.1 Crosses 12.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cavalry
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Valour
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.13 xG 0.99
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
343 Passes 309
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.07.2024 Valour Valour 0-1 HT 0-1 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
27.05.2024 Cavalry Cavalry 1-1 HT 1-1 Valour Valour CAPL
30.09.2023 Cavalry Cavalry 2-1 HT 1-1 Valour Valour CAPL
12.08.2023 Valour Valour 3-2 HT 0-1 Cavalry Cavalry CAPL
01.07.2023 Valour Valour 0-2 HT 0-1 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
01.05.2023 Cavalry Cavalry 1-1 HT 1-0 Valour Valour CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cavalry
2-2
AWAY Valour
2.23 xG 1.48
56% Ball Possession 44%
22 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 3
323 Passes 246
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
39 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cavalry vs Valour
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cavalry and Valour couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Cavalry at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Cavalry had 56% of the ball to Valour's 44%, shots finished 22-14, expected goals 2.23 to 1.48.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cavalry had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cavalry and 1.00 for Valour.

What was the final score of Cavalry vs Valour?

Cavalry 2-2 Valour in the Kanada - Premier League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cavalry vs Valour?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cavalry win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Cavalry 46%, draw 26%, Valour 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cavalry) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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