31/08/2024
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
Super Nova vs Leevon / PPK Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
28%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
65%
21%
Draw
19%
15%
Away Win
16%
50%
Under 2.5
36%
50%
Over 2.5
64%
44%
BTTS Yes
57%
56%
BTTS No
43%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Super Nova v Leevon / PPK — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Super Nova
EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY
Leevon / PPK
EU Bookmakers 19%
+24% /
+24%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+109%
/
+86%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
54%
Ball Possession
46%
15
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
3
400 · 84%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
334 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Super Nova vs Leevon / PPK Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Super Nova
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Leevon / PPK
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Super Nova vs Leevon / PPK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Super Nova cruised past Leevon / PPK 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Super Nova as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.
What was the final score of Super Nova vs Leevon / PPK?
Super Nova 3-0 Leevon / PPK in the Latvia - 1st Division on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Super Nova vs Leevon / PPK?
Before kick-off our model rated a Super Nova win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Super Nova 64%, draw 21%, Leevon / PPK 15%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Super Nova), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Super Nova)
✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
LET1
More Latvia - 1st Division
31 Aug 2024