Atletico San Luis 2-1 Atlas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 31 Aug 2024

Atletico San Luis
2-1 HT 1-0
Atlas
📅31/08/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2024/2025

Atletico San Luis vs Atlas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
30%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.27
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.61
6+ Goals
12%
14.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.27 — our 27% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
37%
+6.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
30%
Away Win
36%
-6.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.0pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico San Luis v Atlas — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico San Luis EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlas EU Bookmakers 39%
-11% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
1.29/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.32
-13% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -4%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
292 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 81%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
19.2 Crosses 17.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1

Atletico San Luis vs Atlas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico San Luis
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Atlas
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.15 xG 1.12
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
308 Passes 326
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.04.2024 Atlas Atlas 2-1 HT 1-1 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
04.09.2023 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 2-0 HT 1-0 Atlas Atlas MEK
30.04.2023 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 0-0 HT 0-0 Atlas Atlas MEK
12.09.2022 Atlas Atlas 1-3 HT 1-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
16.01.2022 Atlas Atlas 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
25.10.2021 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 2-6 HT 0-4 Atlas Atlas MEK

Atletico San Luis 2-1 Atlas — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico San Luis
2-1
AWAY Atlas
0.84 xG 1.49
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 0
390 Passes 388
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 10
10 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico San Luis vs Atlas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico San Luis edged past Atlas 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Atletico San Luis as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Atletico San Luis had 50% of the ball to Atlas's 50%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.84 to 1.49 — the balance of chances actually favoured Atlas.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atlas led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Atletico San Luis and 1.67 for Atlas.

What was the final score of Atletico San Luis vs Atlas?

Atletico San Luis 2-1 Atlas in the Mexico - Primera on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico San Luis vs Atlas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico San Luis win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Atletico San Luis 44%, draw 26%, Atlas 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico San Luis) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico San Luis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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