Tijuana vs Leon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tijuana v Leon — Team-Based Signals
Tijuana vs Leon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Tijuana
MEK
0-0
HT 0-0
Leon
MEK
2-2
HT 0-0
Tijuana
MEK
1-1
HT 0-1
Leon
MEK
2-1
HT 1-0
Tijuana
MEK
Tijuana 2-1 Leon — Actual Match Statistics
Tijuana squeezed past Leon 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Tijuana as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) came in.
On the day, Tijuana had 73% of the ball to Leon's 27%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.63 to 0.37 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Tijuana's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leon led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Tijuana and 1.17 for Leon.
What was the final score of Tijuana vs Leon?
Tijuana 2-1 Leon in the Mexico - Primera on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tijuana vs Leon?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tijuana win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Tijuana 48%, draw 24%, Leon 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tijuana), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.