AFC Eskilstuna 4-3 IF Karlstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
45%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+2.7pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.7pp
45%
Away Win
49%
-3.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.1pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Eskilstuna EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY IF Karlstad EU Bookmakers 53%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / +2%
0.79/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/1.48
-46% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Eskilstuna
1W-1D-1L
AWAY IF Karlstad
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.06.2025 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 1-2 HT 0-1 AFC Eskilstuna AFC Eskilstuna İSÇ3
01.09.2024 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 4-2 HT 3-0 AFC Eskilstuna AFC Eskilstuna İSÇ3
06.04.2024 AFC Eskilstuna AFC Eskilstuna 0-0 HT 0-0 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Eskilstuna
4-3
AWAY IF Karlstad
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AFC Eskilstuna vs IF Karlstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Eskilstuna nicked a narrow win over IF Karlstad 4-3. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was IF Karlstad at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, AFC Eskilstuna had 50% of the ball to IF Karlstad's 50%, shots finished 15-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for AFC Eskilstuna and 1.67 for IF Karlstad.

What was the final score of AFC Eskilstuna vs IF Karlstad?

AFC Eskilstuna 4-3 IF Karlstad in the Sweden - 1st Division on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Eskilstuna vs IF Karlstad?

Before kick-off our model rated an IF Karlstad win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split AFC Eskilstuna 31%, draw 24%, IF Karlstad 45%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (IF Karlstad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IF Karlstad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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