Varbergs GIF 1-2 Vastra Frolunda IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.94
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
49%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.49
No
48%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
30%
-2.6pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.9pp
48%
Away Win
48%
+0.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
63%
-11.2pp
48%
BTTS No
37%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varbergs GIF EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Vastra Frolunda IF EU Bookmakers 52%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
1.72/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/1.29
+12% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +7%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
309 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Varbergs GIF
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Vastra Frolunda IF
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.04.2025 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF 3-1 HT 1-1 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF İSÇ4
22.09.2024 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF 2-2 HT 1-1 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF İSÇ4
30.05.2024 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF 0-0 HT 0-0 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF İSÇ4
09.09.2023 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF 1-1 HT 0-0 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF İSÇ4
14.05.2023 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF 1-4 HT 0-2 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF İSÇ4
08.09.2022 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF 3-3 HT 3-1 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Varbergs GIF
1-2
AWAY Vastra Frolunda IF
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Varbergs GIF vs Vastra Frolunda IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vastra Frolunda IF edged past Varbergs GIF 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vastra Frolunda IF as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Varbergs GIF had 41% of the ball to Vastra Frolunda IF's 59%, shots finished 11-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Varbergs GIF and 1.67 for Vastra Frolunda IF.

What was the final score of Varbergs GIF vs Vastra Frolunda IF?

Varbergs GIF 1-2 Vastra Frolunda IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varbergs GIF vs Vastra Frolunda IF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vastra Frolunda IF win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Varbergs GIF 27%, draw 24%, Vastra Frolunda IF 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vastra Frolunda IF), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vastra Frolunda IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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