Hammarby 4-0 Östers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.42
Draw
17%
4.49
Away
18%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.34
2-3 Goals
44%
1.89
4-5 Goals
23%
2.97
6+ Goals
12%
8.82
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.66
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
17.45
X/1
20%
3.85
X/2
6%
14.15
X/X
4%
6.73
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
20.85
2/2
7%
11.7
2/X
6%
20.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.85 — our 9% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
66%
-1.1pp
17%
Draw
19%
-2.0pp
18%
Away Win
14%
+3.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.5pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hammarby EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Östers EU Bookmakers 17%
-2% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +28%
1.82/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.60
-4% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +66%
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
416 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
35.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
24.5 Crosses 17.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hammarby
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Östers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.99 xG 0.69
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
603 Passes 268
89% Pass Accuracy 79%
36 Box Touches 11
13 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2025 Östers Östers 0-3 HT 0-3 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
20.07.2014 Hammarby Hammarby 3-0 HT 2-0 Östers Östers İSÇ2
29.06.2014 Östers Östers 0-2 HT 0-1 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ2
03.11.2012 Östers Östers 0-0 HT 0-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ2
24.06.2012 Hammarby Hammarby 0-2 HT 0-2 Östers Östers İSÇ2
18.07.2011 Östers Östers 0-0 HT 0-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hammarby
4-0
AWAY Östers
2.50 xG 0.88
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
449 Passes 298
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
37 Box Touches 16
9 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hammarby vs Östers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hammarby cruised past Östers 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hammarby as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hammarby had 59% of the ball to Östers's 41%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 2.50 to 0.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hammarby had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hammarby and 0.33 for Östers.

What was the final score of Hammarby vs Östers?

Hammarby 4-0 Östers in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hammarby vs Östers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hammarby win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Hammarby 65%, draw 17%, Östers 18%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hammarby), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hammarby) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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