AIK 2-1 IK Sirius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
22%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.21
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
3.66
6+ Goals
9%
15.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 32% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
2.36
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.3
X/1
13%
4.19
X/2
7%
8.3
X/X
14%
4.91
2/1
8%
23.65
2/2
8%
6.66
2/X
5%
15.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
53%
+0.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
22%
Away Win
23%
-1.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.9pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AIK EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY IK Sirius EU Bookmakers 26%
+3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +2%
1.38/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.57
-12% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +0%
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
319 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 82%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
20.2 Crosses 17.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AIK
2W-1D-3L
AWAY IK Sirius
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.53 xG 1.34
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
369 Passes 396
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Box Touches 16
26 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.06.2025 AIK AIK 1-2 HT 0-1 IK Sirius IK Sirius HAZ
01.06.2025 IK Sirius IK Sirius 3-1 HT 2-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
25.09.2024 IK Sirius IK Sirius 0-1 HT 0-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
11.05.2024 AIK AIK 1-3 HT 0-1 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
31.07.2023 IK Sirius IK Sirius 0-1 HT 0-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
29.04.2023 AIK AIK 0-0 HT 0-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AIK
2-1
AWAY IK Sirius
0.88 xG 2.36
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
243 Passes 449
71% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 36
13 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH AIK vs IK Sirius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AIK edged past IK Sirius 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AIK as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AIK had 39% of the ball to IK Sirius's 61%, shots finished 12-21, expected goals 0.88 to 2.36 — on chances, IK Sirius could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, IK Sirius led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for AIK and 1.33 for IK Sirius.

What was the final score of AIK vs IK Sirius?

AIK 2-1 IK Sirius in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AIK vs IK Sirius?

Before kick-off our model rated a AIK win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split AIK 53%, draw 25%, IK Sirius 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AIK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AIK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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