AIK 1-2 IK Sirius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 19 Jun 2025

📅19/06/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.51
Over 2.5
52%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.5
No
50%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-8.1pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.6pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+5.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
36%
+11.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
64%
-11.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
62%
-12.3pp
50%
BTTS No
38%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AIK EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY IK Sirius EU Bookmakers 25%
-51% / -51% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.59/2.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.46/2.69
-13% / -54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / -36%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
379 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AIK
2W-2D-2L
AWAY IK Sirius
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.50 xG 1.32
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
380 Passes 365
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 16
27 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.06.2025 IK Sirius IK Sirius 3-1 HT 2-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
25.09.2024 IK Sirius IK Sirius 0-1 HT 0-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
11.05.2024 AIK AIK 1-3 HT 0-1 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
31.07.2023 IK Sirius IK Sirius 0-1 HT 0-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
29.04.2023 AIK AIK 0-0 HT 0-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
02.10.2022 IK Sirius IK Sirius 1-1 HT 0-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
POST-MATCH AIK vs IK Sirius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IK Sirius edged past AIK 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was AIK at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for AIK and 1.17 for IK Sirius.

What was the final score of AIK vs IK Sirius?

AIK 1-2 IK Sirius in the Friendlies on 19/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AIK vs IK Sirius?

Before kick-off our model rated a AIK win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split AIK 49%, draw 25%, IK Sirius 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (AIK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AIK) ✓ Over 2.5
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