Elfsborg 0-1 Mjallby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 19 Jun 2025

📅19/06/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
31%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.29
Over 2.5
49%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.49
No
51%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
4.57
2-3 Goals
42%
1.9
4-5 Goals
19%
2.73
6+ Goals
10%
7.29
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.57 — our 29% vs market 16.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
39%
+3.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-4.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
40%
+11.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
60%
-11.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
63%
-14.6pp
51%
BTTS No
37%
+14.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elfsborg EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Mjallby EU Bookmakers 39%
-55% / -55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-36% / -59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elfsborg
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Mjallby
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.27 xG 1.08
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
288 Passes 382
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 25
22 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2025 Elfsborg Elfsborg 2-2 HT 0-2 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
18.08.2024 Mjallby Mjallby 1-1 HT 1-1 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
21.07.2024 Elfsborg Elfsborg 3-1 HT 2-1 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
20.08.2023 Elfsborg Elfsborg 2-0 HT 2-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
29.04.2023 Mjallby Mjallby 0-1 HT 0-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
07.08.2022 Mjallby Mjallby 1-1 HT 1-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
POST-MATCH Elfsborg vs Mjallby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mjallby edged past Elfsborg 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Elfsborg at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elfsborg had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Elfsborg and 0.83 for Mjallby.

What was the final score of Elfsborg vs Mjallby?

Elfsborg 0-1 Mjallby in the Friendlies on 19/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elfsborg vs Mjallby?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elfsborg win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Elfsborg 43%, draw 26%, Mjallby 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Elfsborg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Elfsborg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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