FC Bari 1908 1-1 Monza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 31 Aug 2025

FC Bari 1908
1-1 HT 1-1
Monza
📅31/08/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2025/2026

FC Bari 1908 vs Monza Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.6
Over 2.5
48%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.44
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
4.45
6+ Goals
8%
24.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.52
1/2
7%
32.0
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
15%
6.05
X/2
15%
5.23
X/X
9%
3.74
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
16%
3.59
2/X EV+ ✗
12%
12.8
Value flag · 2/X at 12.8 — our 12% vs market 4.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.9pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.7pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+0.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.7pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Bari 1908 v Monza — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Bari 1908 EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Monza EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +0%
1.25/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.26
+2% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
21.6 Crosses 17.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9

FC Bari 1908 1-1 Monza — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Bari 1908
1-1
AWAY Monza
0.87 xG 0.69
45% Ball Possession 55%
20 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
297 Passes 378
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FC Bari 1908 vs Monza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Bari 1908 and Monza couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, FC Bari 1908 had 45% of the ball to Monza's 55%, shots finished 20-13, expected goals 0.87 to 0.69.

What was the final score of FC Bari 1908 vs Monza?

FC Bari 1908 1-1 Monza in the Italy - Serie B on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Bari 1908 vs Monza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Monza win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FC Bari 1908 34%, draw 28%, Monza 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Monza) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Monza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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